Greece and Italy meet in Heraklion on June 7 in an international friendly that offers both nations an opportunity to evaluate players ahead of their next competitive campaigns. Italy arrive with the stronger footballing pedigree, but Greece have become a difficult side to break down, particularly on home soil. The match is expected to be competitive rather than open, making several betting markets particularly interesting. goals have often been difficult to find. overall squad level and more depth in key positions. points toward low-scoring contests between the two nations. but no major suspensions have been reported. remain a common feature of their performances. prefer a cautious approach.

Greece vs Italy Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds (June 7, 2026)

Greece welcome Italy to the Pankritio Stadium in Heraklion for an international friendly that brings together two nations looking to rebuild after disappointing World Cup qualification campaigns. While friendlies can often be unpredictable due to squad rotation and experimentation, Italy appear to have a slight edge thanks to superior squad depth and a stronger defensive structure.

Where to Watch

The match is scheduled for June 7, 2026, at Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion, Greece. International broadcasters include Prime Video (UK), DAZN Canada, ViX and Fubo in selected territories. Availability may vary by country.

Recent Form

Greece

Greece have struggled for consistency recently, winning only one of their last five matches:

• Sweden 2-2 Greece
• Hungary 0-0 Greece
• Greece 0-1 Paraguay
• Belarus 0-0 Greece
• Greece 3-2 Scotland

The Greeks have scored 5 goals and conceded 5 in those matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Three of their last five matches finished Under 2.5 Goals.

Italy

Italy arrive in better form:

• Luxembourg 0-1 Italy
• Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 Italy
• Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland
• Italy 1-4 Norway
• Moldova 0-2 Italy

The Azzurri have scored 7 goals and conceded 6 during this period. More importantly, they have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches.

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Head-to-Head History

Italy have historically dominated this fixture.

• Italy have lost only once in 18 meetings with Greece.
• Italy won the last competitive meeting 2-0.
• Italy have won the previous two encounters between the nations.

The lack of recent meetings makes direct comparison difficult, but historical trends strongly favor the visitors.

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Team News

Greece

Greece are expected to field a near full-strength squad. Captain Tasos Bakasetas is unavailable through injury, while striker Vangelis Pavlidis should lead the attack.

Italy

Italy continue their rebuilding process with a youthful squad. Lorenzo Venturino has withdrawn through injury, while Marco Palestra was recently recovering from a minor thigh issue. Coach Silvio Baldini has handed opportunities to numerous uncapped players.

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Goal Trends

Greece

• Average goals scored: 1.00
• Average goals conceded: 1.00
• Clean sheets: 2 in last 5
• Under 2.5 Goals: 3 of last 5

Italy

• Average goals scored: 1.40
• Average goals conceded: 1.20
• Clean sheets: 3 in last 5
• Under 2.5 Goals: 4 of last 5

These numbers point toward a cautious and relatively low-scoring friendly.

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Betting Predictions

Winner (1X2): Italy Win

Italy possess greater depth, stronger defensive numbers, and a dominant historical record against Greece. Even with several young players involved, the overall quality advantage remains significant.

Confidence: 67%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams have recently produced low-scoring matches. Italy’s defensive setup and Greece’s conservative approach suggest limited goal opportunities.

Confidence: 72%

Both Teams To Score: No

Italy have recorded multiple clean sheets recently, while Greece failed to score in three of their last five matches before facing Sweden.

Confidence: 64%

Yellow Cards: Over 3.5

Although it is a friendly, matches between Mediterranean nations often remain competitive. Squad players will also be fighting for future selection, increasing intensity.

Confidence: 61%

Corners: Over 7.5

Both sides use wide attacking players and crossing patterns. A relatively balanced game should generate sufficient corner opportunities.

Confidence: 66%

Predicted Score

Greece 0-1 Italy

Italy’s defensive organization and slightly higher attacking quality should be enough to secure a narrow victory in what is expected to be a tactical and low-scoring encounter.

Best Bets

✅ Italy to Win
✅ Under 2.5 Goals
✅ Both Teams To Score – No
✅ Over 7.5 Corners
✅ Over 3.5 Yellow Cards

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