Wednesday evening (Apr 29, 19:45) brings one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Eerste Divisie promotion play-offs, as Den Bosch host Almere City at the Stadion De Vliert a match that has all the ingredients for a high-scoring thriller.
Den Bosch: Squeezed In Through the Back Door
Den Bosch secured their play-off spot in dramatic and slightly unusual fashion. A peculiar situation in the Period 4 standings meant the club actually needed a loss going into their final regular-season game against Den Haag. They duly fell 3–1 to the Eerste Divisie champions, though the result ultimately didn’t matter: Vitesse’s defeat to Cambuur and Willem II’s win would have confirmed their 9th-place ticket regardless.
Their defensive numbers are the most glaring weakness in the play-off field: 69 goals conceded is the worst record among all participants, and a goal difference of –4 is the only negative in the group. That said, they are a genuine threat going forward and crucially, they have beaten Almere City twice already this season. Midfielder Van Leuven returns from suspension, while backup striker Kuijpers remains sidelined.
Almere City: Explosive Attack, Soft Away Defence
Rijnsdijk’s side finished 5th, just missing out on the top-four target they had set at the start of the second half of the season. Back-to-back April defeats including one to today’s opponents cost them that extra placing. Still, 78 goals scored represents the second-best attacking output in the division.
Away from home the picture is less convincing: an 8–1–10 road record tells its own story. Key absentees include left-back Van der Zeeuw (long-term), right-back Vianello, and winger Burgerhout.
The Data Points One Direction: Goals
Every trend in this matchup points toward a high-scoring game. The last three meetings between these sides all ended with GG and Over 2.5. Almere City are on a six-game GG streak and have scored in each of their last 15 away fixtures. Combine that with Den Bosch’s leaky defence and both teams’ attacking quality, and the case for goals from both ends is compelling.
Best bet: GG & Over 2.5
Den Bosch vs Almere City – Eerste Divisie Play-Off match stats and predictions, April 29 2026
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