The atmosphere at the Santiago Bernabéu this Tuesday will be one of determination mixed with disappointment. Following a heart-wrenching 4-3 defeat to Bayern Munich that saw them exit the Champions League, Real Madrid must now pivot their focus entirely to La Liga to salvage their season.
Real Madrid: Under the President’s Gaze
The fallout from the Munich defeat has been swift. Despite a brilliant brace from Arda Güler and a clinical strike from Kylian Mbappé, a late red card for Eduardo Camavinga paved the way for a Bayern comeback. Reports suggest President Florentino Pérez has issued an ultimatum to the squad (barring the sensational Güler) to “give everything” in the remaining seven league matches.
Currently sitting 9 points behind the leaders, Alvaro Arbeloa’s side faces a mountain to climb. Arbeloa, whose future remains a topic of intense speculation, has publicly voiced his frustrations regarding recent officiating, but his primary task now is managing a squad that is physically and emotionally drained.
Team News: * Out: Thibaut Courtois (final recovery stage), Rodrigo (season-ending injury), and Raul Asencio (intestinal infection).
- In: Tchouaméni and Mastantuono return to the squad after missing recent fixtures, providing much-needed tactical flexibility.
Alaves: The Masters of the Late Drama
While Real Madrid struggles with the weight of expectation, Alaves arrives in Madrid riding a wave of resilience. Quique Sánchez Flores has transformed the side into “unbeatables” lately, now unbeaten in their last four matches.
Their recent 3-3 draw against Real Sociedad was a testament to their fighting spirit, with Lucas Boyé snatching a 90+7′ equalizer. Floating just above the relegation zone, Alaves knows that every point at the Bernabéu is worth its weight in gold. As Quique Sánchez Flores noted, the key will be “staying in the fight until the final whistle.”
Team News: * Out: Abde Rebbach (suspended), Garcés (FIFA ban over passport issues), and Protesoni (injury).
- Boost: Lucas Boyé is fully fit and expected to lead the line after his heroics in the previous round.
Key Stats & Betting Trends
- Domination: Real Madrid has won eight consecutive matches against Alaves across all competitions.
- Goals, Goals, Goals: 11 of the last 12 meetings between these two in Madrid have seen Over 2.5 goals.
- Clean Sheet Struggle: Real Madrid has seen Both Teams to Score (G/G) land in their last seven official matches.
- History: Madrid holds a commanding 17-0-2 record at home against the visitors.
Expert Analysis & Pick
Real Madrid is the heavy favorite, but their defensive lapses following Camavinga’s suspension and the emotional toll of the Bayern match suggest Alaves could find the net. Given that 7 of Madrid’s last 7 games have ended in G/G, the trend is clear.
Top Tip: Real Madrid Win & Both Teams to Score
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